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Gujarat Titans improved their chances of reaching the IPL 2026 playoffs to 72.52% following a 77-run win over Rajasthan Royals in Jaipur, a result that significantly boosted their Net Run Rate from -0.147 to +0.228. Shubman Gill's 84 and Sai Sudharsan's 55 lifted GT to 206/4, while Rashid Khan took 4/33 to restrict Rajasthan to 129/9, securing the team's second-place position in the standings.
Rajasthan Royals remain ahead in playoff probability at 80.31%, according to projections based on 100,000 simulations of the remaining fixtures, which factor in current points, Net Run Rate, form, and opponent strength. Their remaining matches are against Delhi Capitals, Lucknow Super Giants, and Mumbai Indians—teams with lower playoff odds—giving RR a scheduling advantage despite the loss.
Punjab Kings and Sunrisers Hyderabad saw marginal gains, reaching 84.81% and 89.59% playoff probability respectively, while Royal Challengers Bengaluru held steady at 77.55%. Chennai Super Kings' odds dipped to 38.81% as GT moved ahead, and Kolkata Knight Riders, Mumbai Indians, and Lucknow Super Giants remain near elimination with probabilities below 6%.
Delhi Capitals failed to qualify in any of the latest 100,000 simulations despite remaining mathematically in contention. The court will resume hearing on Tuesday.