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Indian equity markets are expected to remain volatile this week as investors track geopolitical developments surrounding US-Iran tensions and crude oil price movements. According to market analysts, the conflict in the Middle East and fluctuations in Brent crude prices will drive market sentiment in the near term.
Analysts say a sustained decline in crude prices below $90 or progress towards de-escalation could support relief rallies, while prolonged uncertainty may weigh on sentiment and keep volatility elevated.
Investors will also monitor inflation data from India and the US for cues on interest rate trajectories, with India's April CPI inflation data and US inflation indicators being key triggers for markets.
The earnings season is entering its final phase, with quarterly earnings announcements from major companies, including Canara Bank and Tata Power, expected to influence market direction.
The market will also track foreign institutional investor flows, crude oil prices, and rupee movement, which are expected to dictate the direction of large-cap stocks, with foreign investors having already pulled out Rs 14,231 crore from Indian equities this month.
Looking ahead, market participants will closely watch the upcoming inflation data and earnings announcements, with the US inflation readings potentially influencing expectations around Federal Reserve rate cuts and overall global risk sentiment.